FX Strategists at UOB Group Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann noted EUR/USD could still drop further in the next weeks.
24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that EUR ‘could drift lower to 1.0780’. We added, ‘last week’s low near 1.0755 is unlikely to come into the picture’. Our view was not wrong as EUR dropped to 1.0768 before closing at 1.0780. While downward momentum has not improved by much, EUR could weaken further to 1.0755. For today, a sustained decline below this level is unlikely (next support is at 1.0725). Resistance is at 1.0800 followed by 1.0820.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (18 Apr, spot at 1.0805). As highlighted, risk for EUR is on the downside even though it may trade above the solid support at 1.0755 for a couple of days first. Looking ahead, a breach of 1.0755 would shift the focus to 1.0725 followed by 1.0700. Overall, only a break of 1.0845 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.0885 yesterday) would indicate that the downside risk has dissipated.”